Olusegun Adeniyi
In October 2019, I had the privilege of attending Forum 2000 in Prague, Czech Republic, to commemorate the 30th anniversary of the 1989 Velvet Revolution. This historic event brought Vaclav Havel, a renowned playwright and political dissident, to power in Czechoslovakia. Founded in 1996 by Havel and collaborators Yohei Sasakawa and Elie Wiesel, Forum 2000 aims to promote democracy and engage in meaningful discussions on global issues. Reflecting on the massive protests that took place during the 1989 Autumn of Nations in various countries, including parts of Eastern Europe, Asia, and Latin America, it is clear that there are no predictable outcomes when uprisings emerge from the streets. This holds a valuable lesson for us today.
Today, Nigeria wakes up to the anticipation of a planned 10-day protest under the hashtag #EndBadGovernance. Organized mainly through social media, the protest seeks to draw attention to the widespread hunger and economic hardships faced by many Nigerians. According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), food inflation reached an all-time high of 40.87 percent in June, making essential items unaffordable for the average Nigerian. It is understandable that anger and frustration fill the streets. However, there is a genuine concern that these protests might be infiltrated or hijacked by hoodlums aiming to loot and cause chaos.
During a recent Christian program I attended, the presiding cleric led a prayer for Nigeria, acknowledging the skyrocketing prices of essential commodities and the hardships faced by Nigerians. Interestingly, he expressed his belief that street protests do not offer practical solutions to our problems, urging us to pray instead. Surprisingly, a young man sitting behind me voiced his disagreement, stating that it was too late for prayers and that nothing could stop the protests. This incident made me realize that there might be deeper reasons behind the agitation in Abuja that are not immediately visible to some of us. As we wait to see what unfolds in the coming days, it is crucial to understand that no one can remain neutral regarding this issue. Nigerians can be categorized into six groups concerning the protest.
The first group consists of those who wish to send a strong message to the government, inspired by similar protests happening in Kenya. Regardless of their number, members of this group are willing to protest despite the risks involved. The second group comprises opportunistic politicians who see any disruption to the current political arrangement in Abuja as an opportunity for personal gain. They may offer resources but will not actively participate in the protests. The third group consists of moderates who are dissatisfied with the current state of the country and believe that a shock to the system is necessary to initiate change. However, they will only provide moral support and will not take to the streets themselves. The fourth group includes Nigerians who prioritize their day-to-day survival amidst the hardships, believing that protests will only exacerbate their struggles without bringing about any tangible change. The fifth group comprises street urchins and opportunistic criminals who eagerly await any confusion that might occur during protests, enabling them to engage in looting, violence, and even rape. Finally, the sixth group consists of those currently in power, especially in Abuja, who see any form of protest as treasonous. This group’s allegiance is driven by opportunism rather than principles, easily changing when they transition from government to opposition or vice versa.
It is important to note that this is not the first time Nigeria has experienced widespread protests against government policies. Looking back to June 2003, during the presidency of Olusegun Obasanjo, there was a significant increase in fuel prices. Labor unions, led by Adams Oshiomhole, threatened a nationwide strike if the decision was not reversed. Eventually, a series of negotiations took place, and a compromise was reached. Similarly, in January 2012, protesters took to the streets of Lagos against former President Goodluck Jonathan’s removal of fuel subsidies. It is worth mentioning that notable figures like Bola Tinubu, who now pleads for patience, supported the protesters at the time. These historical events remind us of the fluid nature of politics and the complexities surrounding public demonstrations.
Unfortunately, some Nigerian politicians, like Senate President Godswill Akpabio, have belittled the significance of the current protest movement. Mocking the organizers, he expressed his gratitude for the current government and encouraged protesters to continue while he and his colleagues enjoy the benefits. This dismissive attitude from those in power, coupled with governmental policies that worsen the people’s suffering, such as the recent announcement of increased charges to airlines amidst complaints from airline operators, further highlights the disconnect between the government and the public’s needs.
Reflecting on the current state of affairs and the potential outcomes of street protests, cautious skepticism arises. While protests have played a pivotal role in democratic countries, including the United States, it is important to question whether street demonstrations alone can bring about lasting political change in Nigeria’s complex landscape. Comparing previous protests in Nigeria that remained peaceful, such as the ones against Obasanjo’s policies, with the tragic turn of events during the EndSARS protests in December 2020, it is clear that protests can quickly escalate into national tragedies. Considering the precarious situation many Nigerians find themselves in today, with hunger and discontent at an all-time high, it is understandable why the government fears the consequences of large-scale protests.
Looking back to the Autumn of Nations in 1989, it is fascinating to observe the diverse outcomes of the revolutions in different countries. At the Forum 2000 conference in Prague, discussions revolved around significant events of 1989, including the Chinese Superpower and the Promise of Tienanmen 1989 and the 30th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall in Germany. While the protest movement in East Germany resulted in the collapse of the Berlin Wall and the communist regime, paving the way for economic prosperity, the most remarkable revolution occurred in Czechoslovakia. Initiated by a non-violent protest on November 17, 1989, to commemorate the 50th anniversary of the Nazi invasion of Czech universities, the uprising gained momentum under the guidance of Vaclav Havel. Within six weeks, the communist government was overthrown, leading Havel to become the president of Czechoslovakia. The success of this revolution without a single gunshot fired demonstrates the power of peaceful resistance.
In conclusion, Nigeria undeniably faces immense challenges. However, it is doubtful that political salvation can come solely from street protests. Drawing upon the lessons of history and considering the complexities of our society, it becomes apparent that sustainable change requires a comprehensive and multifaceted approach. While protests can serve as a powerful catalyst, they must be accompanied by strategic and inclusive dialogue, engagement with various stakeholders, and efforts to strengthen democratic institutions. It is only through such collective actions that Nigeria can transition to a more accountable system that harnesses the immense potential of its people.
Two Generations of Saxophonists
On Saturday, August 17, the Annual Teens Career Conference of The Everlasting Arms Parish (TEAP) of the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG) Abuja will witness an exceptional performance by 15-year-old Demilade Adepegba, affectionately known as “The BOLD One.” This event will bring together the young and the old, with special guest Donald Duke, the former Cross River State Governor and fellow saxophonist. Demilade’s parents recognized his love for music at a young age, gifting him a saxophone on his 6th birthday. Similarly, Duke, now 64 years old, developed his passion for music at the age of three, playing multiple instruments throughout his life. Music has always been a way for both artists to express their true selves and find joy in their craft.
The theme of this year’s conference, “The Power of Music,” highlights the interconnected stories of our distinguished speakers. Just as Demilade and Duke were nurtured into music by their parents, Darey Art Alade, son of the late Modupe Afolabi Jemi-Alade (popularly known as Art Alade), and Mrs. Bukola Bekes found their musical paths through parental encouragement. Darey’s father, a famous Nigerian television personality in the 70s, passed down his musical knowledge to his son. Meanwhile, Bekes’ parents guided her into joining the church choir from a young age, a decision that shaped her career as the Music Director at the RCCG, City of David in Lagos. These notable figures will be joined by Chief Host Pastor Evaristus Azodoh, who will conclude the conference with the Father’s Blessings. To participate in this inspiring event, eligible individuals can register online at rccgteapteens.ng.
On a somber note, we mourn the loss of the beloved Onyeka Onwenu, fondly referred to as “the elegant stallion.” May her family find solace in this difficult time.
You can follow me on my X (formerly Twitter) handle,@Olusegunverdictand onwww.olusegunadeniyi.com